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Business optimization research

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Organizations must constantly adapt to rapidly changing business requirements
and increasing cost pressure. They need to optimize their business processes to
allocate scarce resources more efficiently. In today's businesses, many processes
are complex. Accurate data for optimization efforts is sometimes lacking, and
potential investments can be highly risky. Customers need our assistance to optimize
their processes and make quantitative simulations and predictions. Using our skills
in predictive modeling, stochastic optimization, portfolio theory, and simulation,
we provide our customers with highly customized solutions which address their
business needs.
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Using services project data from a BCS EMEA project-tracking database, we built
a prototype decision support system for services portfolio risk management. It
provides individual project profiling and health/profitability predictions as
well as an overall project portfolio view in terms of risk and returns. The system
integrates advanced algorithms combining predictive modeling, stochastic optimization,
and Monte Carlo simulation techniques. The performance of the system has been
verified using historical data on the project portfolio, and yields a predicted
average gross profit margin deviation of 2% versus 10% with the current pricing
system.
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